Archive for category Economic Reports

Economic Report Alert: Payrolls Up in 30 U.S. States in April, Led by Texas via @BloombergNews

20130517_payrolls

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Economic Report Alert: Leading Indicators Up More Than Expected via @Street_Insider @BloombergNews

  • April Leading Indicators Rise 0.6% vs 0.2% Expected
    • via @Street_Insider

20130517_leading_indicators

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Economic Report Alert: U.S. Consumer Confidence Up via @Street_Insider @BloombergNews

  • May (P) U.of M Confidence 83.7 vs 77.9 Expected
    • via @Street_Insider

consumer_20130517

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Economic Report Summary 20160516: CPI,HOUSING STARTS,JOBLESS CLAIMS,PHILLY FED SURVEY

CPI

  1. Bloomberg article: Consumer Prices in U.S. Dropped More Than Forecast in April http://bloom.bg/12xoTUE via @BloombergNews
  2. Econoday Economic Report: Consumer Price Index May 16, 2013
    20130516_cpi_mm
    Released On 5/16/2013 8:30:00 AM For Apr, 2013

    Prior Consensus Consensus Range Actual
    CPI – M/M change -0.2 % -0.3 % -0.4 % to 0.1 % -0.4 %
    CPI – Y/Y change 1.5 % 1.1 %
    CPI less food & energy 0.1 % 0.2 % -0.1 % to 0.2 % 0.1 %
    CPI less food & energy – Y/Y change 1.9 % 1.7 %

Housing Starts

  1. Bloomberg article: Housing Starts in U.S. Fell in April to Five-Month Low http://bloom.bg/12xp3vp via @BloombergNews
  2. Econoday Economic Report: Housing Starts May 16, 2013
    20130516_housing_starts
    Released On 5/16/2013 8:30:00 AM For Apr, 2013

    Prior Prior Revised Consensus Consensus Range Actual
    Starts – Level – SAAR 1.036 M 1.021 M 0.969 M 0.930 M to 1.000 M 0.853 M
    Permits – Level – SAAR 0.902 M 0.890 M 0.945 M 0.916 M to 0.980 M 1.017 M

Jobless Claims

  1. Bloomberg article: Jobless Claims in U.S. Jump to Highest Level in Six Weeks http://bloom.bg/12xoUbe via @BloombergNews
  2. Econoday Economic Report: Jobless Claims May 16, 2013
    20160516_jobless_claims
    Released On 5/16/2013 8:30:00 AM For wk5/11, 2013

    Prior Prior Revised Consensus Consensus Range Actual
    New Claims – Level 323 K 328 K 330 K 329 K to 341 K 360 K
    4-week Moving Average – Level 336.75 K 338.00 K 339.25 K
    New Claims – Change -4 K 1 K 32 K

Philadelphia Fed Survey

  1. Bloomberg article: Manufacturing in Philadelphia Fed Area Unexpectedly Contracts http://bloom.bg/12xEC69 via @BloombergNews
  2. Econoday Economic Report: Philadelphia Fed Survey May 16, 2013
    20160516_philly_fed_survey
    Released On 5/16/2013 10:00:00 AM For May, 2013

    Prior Consensus Consensus Range Actual
    General Business Conditions Index – Level 1.3 2.2 -3.0  to 6.6 -5.2 

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Economic Report Summary and Futures Outlook for 20130514

1) Abnormally cold weather once again pulled down store sales, according to ICSC-Goldman … http://bit.ly/13YhDSi  via @BloombergNews

2) More good news out of April is a jump in small business confidence, up 2.6 points to a 92.1 http://bit.ly/19npNUH  via @BloombergNews

3) Import prices fell 0.5 percent in April and for a second straight month http://bit.ly/YT3wic  via @BloombergNews

20130514_import_export_prices

4) Rebook reports a sales uptick for chain stores last week http://bit.ly/10LgkXT via @BloombergNews

5) U.S. Stock Futures Rise as Tepper Says He’s Bullish http://bloom.bg/14jp7yM  via @BloombergNews

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Economic Reports this week: Durable Goods Orders, Jobless Claims, GDP #sequestration

wednesday, apr-24-2013

  • Durable Goods Orders to be Released On 4/24/2013 8:30:00 AM For Mar, 2013
  • New Orders – M/M change: Prior 5.7 % – Consensus (2.8 %) – Consensus Range (6.0 %) to 0.3 %
  • economic_report_durablegoods_20130424

thursday, apr-25-2013

  • Jobless Claims to be Released On 4/25/2013 8:30:00 AM For wk4/20, 2013
  • New Claims – Level: Prior 352 K – Consensus 350 K – Consensus Range 340 K to 360 K
    economic_report_joblessclaims_20130425

friday, apr-26, 2013

  • GDP to be Released On 4/26/2013 8:30:00 AM For Q1:13
  • Real GDP – Q/Q change – SAAR: Prior  0.4 % – Consensus 3.1 % – Consensus Range 2.3 % to 3.3 %
  • GDP price index – Q/Q change – SAAR: Prior 1.0 % – Consensus 1.4 % – Consensus Range 0.9 % to 1.8 %
    economic_report_realgdpgrowth_20130426 economic_report_gdppriceindex_20130426

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Economic reports (thurs 20130404) – Jobless Claims

Jobless Claims: Released On 4/4/2013 8:30:00 AM For wk3/30, 2013

  • Highlights – Upward pivot for jobless claims is bad news for the unemployed. The March 23 week saw the sharpest weekly increase and the highest level of the year, both now exceeded by the March 30 week with initial claims up 28,000 to 385,000. The 4-week average also shows its largest increase and highest level of the year, up 11,250 to 354,250.
  • Weekly series fluctuate more dramatically than monthly series even when the series are adjusted for seasonal variation. The 4-week moving average gives a better perspective on the underlying trend. Data Source: Haver Analytics
  • 20130404_jobless_claims
  • Note – all credits to bloomberg.econoday.com

 

Prior

Prior Revised

Consensus

Consensus Range

Actual

New Claims – Level

357 K

357 K

350 K

339 K to 365 K

385 K

4-week Moving Average – Level

343.00 K

343.00 K

354.25 K

New Claims – Change

16 K

16 K

28 K

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Economic reports (wed 20130403) – MBA Purchase Applications, ADP Employment Report, ISM Non-Mfg Index

MBA Purchase Applications: Released On 4/3/2013 7:00:00 AM For wk3/29, 2013

  • Highlights – A scheduled hike in FHA premiums on April 1 increased demand for government loans and gave a boost to purchase applications in the March 29 week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association … <click link to read more>
  • Composite Index – W/W Change, Prior 7.7%, Actual 4.0 %
  • Purchase Index – W/W Change, Prior 7.0%, Actual % -1.0 %
  • Refinance Index – W/W Change, Prior 8.0%, Actual -6.0 %
  • MBA Purchase Applications_20130403

ADP Employment Report: Released On 4/3/2013 8:15:00 AM For Mar, 2013

  • Highlights – ADP data are strongly signaling weakness for Friday’s employment report. Private payrolls by ADP’s count rose only 158,000 in March which is far below ADP’s 237,000 count for February (revised)
  • Prior 198,000
  • Prior Revised 237,000
  • Consensus 205,000
  • Consensus Range 170,000 to 240,000
  • Actual 158,000
  • ADP Employment Report_20130403
  • Note – all credits to bloomberg.econoday.com

ISM Non-Mfg Index: Released On 4/3/2013 10:00:00 AM For Mar, 2013

  • Highlights – Employment is the weak link in March’s non-manufacturing from the ISM whose headline composite index fell 1.6 points to a 54.4 level that indicates the slowest rate of monthly growth since July last year … <click link to read more>
  • Prior 56.0
  • Consensus 56.0
  • Consensus Range 54.0 to 56.5
  • Actual 54.4
  • ISM Non-Mfg Index_20130403
  • Note – all credits to bloomberg.econoday.com

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Economic reports (thurs 3/28) – GDP, Jobless Claims, Chicago PMI, KC Fed Manufacturing Index

  • GDP – Released On 3/28/2013 8:30:00 AM For Q4:12
Prior Consensus Consensus Range
Real GDP – Q/Q change – SAAR 0.1 % 0.6 % 0.1 % to 0.8 %
GDP price index – Q/Q change – SAAR 0.9 % 0.9 % 0.9 % to 0.9 %
  • Jobless Claims – Released On 3/28/2013 8:30:00 AM For wk3/23, 2013
Prior Consensus Consensus Range
New Claims – Level 336 K 340 K 330 K to 345 K
  • Chicago PMI – Released On 3/28/2013 9:45:00 AM For Mar, 2013
Prior Consensus Consensus Range
Business Barometer Index – Level 56.8 56.1 55.0  to 57.9

Released On 3/28/2013 11:00:00 AM For Mar, 2013

Prior Consensus Consensus Range
Level -10 -3 -4  to 0

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