Posts Tagged VAL
stubbystock portfolio review [EOD20130530] $MDSO $CPA $FLT $GILD $CREE top list by IBD rank
Posted by stubbybrown in Portfolio on 2013/05/30
symbols in alphabetical order: BBSI, BOFI, COG, COST, CPA, CREE, CSGP, DPZ, FLT, GILD, MDSO, MPC, SHOS, TYL ,UHS, UNF, VAL, WAB, WDC, WDR
finviz charts: in alphabetical order
stubbyrank criteria using IBD SmartSelect data:
- IBD composite rating: 80 or up
- IBD rs rating: 80 or up
- IBD eps rating: 70 or up
- equities are sorted in excel by 1, 2, 3 from above in that order. shifts ranking toward momentum rather than fundamental selection.
- typically i like to hold stocks with <5% float short. BOFI CREE DPZ are <10%.
stubbyallocation rules for constructing a diversified portfolio: (brief summary)
- i pick a benchmark that fits my thesis for at least a quarter going forward. then i use stubbyselect screens to look for additions to balance the portfolio as close as reasonably possible to the benchmark. currently, i am allocated to small/mid cap growth. the allocation is a close mix between ishares russell 2000 growth index etf IWO & ishares midcap growth index etf IWP.
- in addition to stubbyselect screening, i target long setups whose prices are reasonably close to each other and buy positions of shares in fractions based on a target total capital outlay. if i target $20K – $24K, positions may start in 1/4 or 1/8 positions. when i buy a long position, the cost of buying and selling the position ought not be more than 1/4 to 1/2% of that positions cost. i can achieve this using Interactive Brokers as my stock broker.
- to start with i equally share weight all purchases. years of backtesting have demonstrated my portfolios generally outperforms the benchmark by a handy margin over the course of several ups & downs over a year period of time. as the market moves, i’ll add or subtract positions based on technical buy or sell indicators. sometimes this results in being out of balance with my benchmark for some short periods of time.
- positions will be sold when they approach 1-3% loss when market technicals are very shaky. during strong uptrend markets i might let losses approach 5-8% if the stock is a leader and i feel there’s a good change of technicals turning in favor of the stock. positions with gains in the 15-30% range will be reduced or sold entirely.
- i take great advantage of worden tc2000 (the same people who produce freestockcharts.com) as my TA app and i set alarms based on price, volume and a whole host of technical indicators like cross ups or cross down in MACD, RSI, STOCHASTICS, CCI etc. worden does not integrate with my broker but i can manually setup automatic stop/loss trades based on my TA in tc2000 if i wish. i’m not a day trader which allows me more flexibility. for example, every now and then you may hear about mini or micro stock market crashes. prices suddenly drop 10% or more and then recover in 5 – 10 mins. an automatic stop/loss could lose a trader lots of money. this is a good segway to my next rule.
- i always keep large amounts of cash handy. i occasionally buy bond etfs and only under certain circumstances will i purchase inverse, levered inverse etfs or volatility tracking etfs. however i have lots of experience with inverse levered etfs and understand their weaknesses and advantages. prior to the 2008-2009 market collapse i developed a delta neutral arbitrage algorithm based on long/short etfs for a particular index which resulted in producing an oscillator to measure bullish or bearish market trends. i found the algo to be no more reliable than conventional oscillators as market conditions substantially improved. i do not trade options.
- i will bend these rules only when i think there is a high probability of obtaining exceptional short-term gains or to maneuver away from outsized losses.
in another post i’ll talk about my info gathering routines to look for catalysts for stock i hold or am watching, news to stay on top of market sentiment and i follow the domestic & global bond market like a hawk, currency indexes, precious metals futures and commodities sometimes. these can be proxy indicators for future supply and demand effecting the economy and the consumer in particular. another topic i will is how i use analytics in the morningstar.com personal portfolio manager and sites i rely on during earnings season.
current asset allocation: provided by morningstar.com personal portfolio manager.
worden charts of top 5:
12 new stubbystock HIGHS [EOD20130520] $ACT $ASML $AXP $C $CBRL $CVI $GS $OCN $SAIA $TM $TRIP $VAL
Posted by stubbybrown in 52 week highs on 2013/05/20
charts & quotes
ranked table of highs
No.1 rank chart TRIP and commentary
- this stock recently break out and will let the holding ride. no plans to make any changes till another entry pattern develops.
- all these names in the table above finished positive for the days. other names made highs but finished negative. those were JPM WDR PNC UNF BDC MELI GILD VRTS EXP TYL FEIC.
other setups to watch in todays 52wk highs list
- CVI – breaking out on high volume through a resistance level of 65. i added 1/4 pos today. fresh off of a weekly MACD xUP last week.
- OCN – continuing to move higher after breaking out of a long consolidation on may-10. weekly MACD xUP at breakout. 42.2 was the level i was watching. today closed at 44.31. i bought additional 1/4 a few days after and will maintain neutral for now. still not too late for entry.
- VAL likely to continue to make new new highs after weekly MACD xUP during the week before last. still time for entry this week.
6 notable 52wk HIGHS [EOD20130515] $ADP $GILD $GOOG $NATH $VAL $WAB
Posted by stubbybrown in 52 week highs, ATH on 2013/05/15
results: (csv format)
- finviz.com chart list is by alphabetical order. stubby’s ranking is below:
- my screening criteria is based on technical & fundamental parameters i find at finviz.com & IBD investors.com.
- all below made new all time highs.
- $NATH $VAL make the list of 52wk highs and all time highs 2 days in a row.
Rank no.,Symbol,Company Name,Composite Rating,EPS Rating,RS Rating,SMR Rating,Acc/Dis Rating,Group Rel Str Rating
1,GOOG,Google Inc,99,91,83,A,B,A+
2,GILD,Gilead Sciences Inc,98,77,96,A,A-,A+
3,WAB,Wabtec,96,92,85,A,B,A
4,NATH,Nathans Famous Inc,96,84,97,A,A-,A+
5,VAL,Valspar Corp,88,81,83,B,A,B-
6,ADP,Automatic Data Processng,88,70,78,A,A-,B
new category: stubby’s ALL TIME HIGH listing: long $AXP $CBRL $CBS $CCI $DDD $DPZ $MDSO $NSM $OCN $TRIP $UHS $ULTI $URI $WDR
Posted by stubbybrown in ATH on 2013/05/14
14 notable 52wk HIGHS [EOD20130514] $AMG $AOS $BDX $BEN $BIIB $C $ESGR $IFF $LVS $NATH $SHW $TYL $VAL $WLP
Posted by stubbybrown in 52 week highs on 2013/05/14
results: (csv format)
- finviz.com chart list is by alphabetical order. stubby’s ranking is below:
- my screening criteria is based on technical & fundamental parameters i find at finviz.com & IBD investors.com.
Rank no.,Symbol,Company Name,Composite Rating,EPS Rating,RS Rating,SMR Rating,Acc/Dis Rating,Group Rel Str Rating,
1,AMG,Affiliated Managers Grp,99,90,85,A,A-,A,
2,LVS,Las Vegas Sands Corp,99,74,86,A,B,A+,
3,BIIB,Biogen Idec Inc,98,90,94,A,A,A+,
4,BEN,Franklin Resources Inc,97,83,84,A,B+,A,
5,TYL,Tyler Technologies Inc,96,90,92,A,A-,C+,
6,NATH,Nathans Famous Inc,95,85,96,A,A-,A+,
7,AOS,Smith A O Corp,95,91,89,B,A-,B-,
8,IFF,Intl Flavors & Fragrance,93,87,80,B,A+,B,
9,ESGR,Enstar Group Ltd,90,70,81,A,B+,B,
10,SHW,Sherwin-Williams Co,88,87,86,B,B+,B-,
11,VAL,Valspar Corp,88,81,83,B,A,B-,
12,WLP,Wellpoint Inc,88,82,81,C,A,B,
13,C,Citigroup Inc,84,96,91,D,B-,C,
14,BDX,Becton Dickinson & Co,82,78,81,A,A,C-,
brief commentary: the majority of these names are in breakout mode. those that still have some resistance above are likely to take them out sooner than later. i current hold C. i recently sold out of AMG, BEN, BIIB, IFF. it’s been several weeks since i’ve held SHW, VAL, WLP. i’ve no no position in LVS, TYL, NATH, AOS, ESGR. it’s been so long since i’ve held BDX, it may as well be i haven’t held. i’ll be watching SHW & VAL as i am currently light basic materials. will wait though for pullback for better entry.

























